Report

Why most AI pilots never reach production

M. Costa, A. Silva

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22 pages

An analysis of 31 pilots that did not ship, based on post-mortems conducted with the teams that ran them. Technical failure was the primary cause in only six cases. Procurement, unclear ownership, and the absence of a named production budget appear more often than any property of the model or the system. We group the causes, order them by frequency, and note which were visible before the pilot started.

Pilots rarely die in the demo. They die in the weeks after, when the question changes from does it work to who owns it now.

Key findings:

  • Six of 31 failed pilots failed for primarily technical reasons

  • The most common cause was ownership: nobody was named to run the system after the pilot team dissolved

  • Second was procurement: the pilot ran on exception budget that production could not inherit

  • 19 of the 31 failure causes were visible in writing before the pilot began

Method: structured post-mortems with the teams that ran each pilot, conducted three to eighteen months after the decision not to ship. Causes were classified from the interview record, not the survey answer, because teams routinely misreport their own failure cause.

The conclusion we act on: we no longer start pilots that do not name a production owner and a production budget line first.

CITATION

Costa, M., & Silva, A. (2025). Why most AI pilots never reach production. Forja Studio.

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